Kerry's Calculus

Archives

Kerry's Articles for 2008

Rebuilding:  Firmly On The Road But Still A Long Way To Go - March 27

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: The 2007 Orioles Offense, Position-by-Position - January 14

Kerry's Articles for 2007

The Twelfth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award:  An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - December 31...It's Fiesta Time!

The Roster, Looking Ahead - August 6...Looking at today's roster with 2008 in mind

Game Over - June 18...Seeing the forest clear cut for what it is

Some Good News For A Change - May 31...The Pitching Staff Has Kicked It Into High Gear

The Offensive Offense: An Update - May 25...It's (Mostly) About the Lack of Home Runs, Stupid

In Sam's Favor... - May 21...Is one relationship enough to keep Perlozzo on the job?

Turning the Crank - May 3...Are the Orioles really as bad as their record in the last ten games?

Half-Full or Half-Empty? - April 23...Reasons for Optimism and Pessimism in Light of the O's Solid Start

 

Kerry's Articles for 2006

The Eleventh Annual Kerry's Piņata Award:  An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - December 13...It's Fiesta Time once again!

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: The 2006 Orioles Offense, Position-by-Position - December 2

Britton for Wright - November 13...What this Implies for the Future

No Quick Fixes - August 16...It's long past time for the Orioles to fully commit to the rebuilding process

Now That The Dust Has Settled: The Orioles After the Trading Deadline - August 1...There's pitching in them thar hills

Welcome To Oblivion:  Early Steps the Orioles Can Take to Begin to Escape Purgatory - July 10

Bandbox Revisited, 2005: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - June 5

The Gasping and Wheezing Continues - June 2...You May Want to Cover Your Eyes as We Assess the Plight of the O's Minor League Position Players

Fan Interest and the Orioles: Can it Recover? - April 28...The White Sox as a case study

The Curious Saga of Daniel Cabrera, Part II - April 18...Additional considerations following the third start turnaround

The Curious Saga of Daniel Cabrera - April 16...Composed thoughts on the big right-handers early season struggles and what the club may be thinking about it

Baseball Digest's 2006 Predictions - March 5...A tradition continues

Twin Lakes: The Other Side of the Spring Training Site Problem - Feb. 17...More on Spring Training Site Woes

2006 Fantasy Camp Diary

Day Six: Rainout -- February 4

Day Five: The Playoffs Begin -- February 3

Day Four - February 2

Day Three - February 1

Q & A with Sam Perlozzo - February 1

Day Two - January 31

Day One Action - January 30

Veteran's Tournament Day 2 - January 29

Veteran's Tournament Day 1 - January 29

Preparations - January 28

 

Kerry's Articles for 2005

A Crisis of Credibility:  The Franchise at a Crossroads - December 31

The Tenth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award:  An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - November 22...It's Fiesta Time!

A Backwards Offense:  The Orioles, and Baseball, Position-by-Position, 2005 - November 18

The End of an Ignominious Era:  Finally Chicago Baseball Fans Are the Ones Cheering At Season's End - October 27

Meet Me in St. Louis:  A Photographic Essay
- August 31

Breaking Down a Broken Down Offense: Why the Orioles Aren't Scoring - July 26...A look at some splits proves highly revealing

The Second Half: What Has to Happen for the Orioles to Contend the Rest of the Way - July 14

Dissecting Pythagoras: A Historical Examination - June 22...The Pythagorean Theorem through the ages

Farm Pen - June 10...Four Orioles minor league relievers to keep a close eye on

A Glance Down the Road - May 23...Where the roster is and where it may be headed

Decision Time: What to Do In Light of the Matos Injury -
May 11...A sense that a crossroads has been reached, early in the season

Transcendental Meditation & the Orioles: An Interview - May 6

Yankee Hater, Haiku Lover - May 2...Assessing the first month (plus a day) of the Yankees' season using haiku

The Life of Riley- April 6...Assessing the Trade

The 90+ Win Scenario - March 14...A Semi-Numerical Glance at How the Orioles May Just Get Over the Hump

An Interview With Mike Flanagan - February 25...The Orioles Vice President Covers a Wide Range of Topics

What We Think We Know - February 21...Remembering One of Life's Little Truisms

 

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Final Wrap Up - Feb. 6

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Last Day of Camp - Feb. 5

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Luck Is the Factor of the Day - Feb. 4

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Final Day of the Regular Tournament - Feb. 3

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary:  A Short Day - Feb. 2

2005 Fantasy Camp:  GM Night - Feb. 2

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Day Two Action - Feb. 1

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Day One with the Grizzlies - Jan. 31

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Veteran's Tournament Day 2 - Jan. 30

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Veteran's Tournament Day 1 - Jan. 29

2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Preparing for Camp  - Jan. 28

 

Bandbox Revisited, 2004: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - January 26...Updated through the 2004 season

Feast or Famine: The 2004 Offense, By Position - January 7...Where the 2004 Orioles rank, position by position

The Baltimore Orioles of Poughkeepsie - January 5...Behind the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Kerry's Articles for 2004

THE NINTH ANNUAL KERRY'S PIŅATA AWARD - December 20...A Web tradition since 1996!

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part V - The 2002 Draft:  Any Improvement? - November 16

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part IV - The 2001 Draft:  Seeds of Success? - October 10

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part III - The 2000 Draft:  Going Nowhere Fast - September 30

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part II -The 1999 Draft:  A Golden Opportunity Missed? - September 12

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part I-Addendum:  Breaking Down the First Round - August 31

DeMacio & The Draft:  Part I -- Why the Top Rounds of the Draft Are the Key - August 27

The Last 300-Game Winner? - July 31...Don't blink and miss Maddux's accomplishment, it may not happen again

The State of the Club - July 21...Maybe 2004 hasn't been a train wreck after all

It Doesn't Get Any Worse Than This - June 16..."Prior to the start of the season, if I had drawn up a realistic, mid-June worst-case scenario for the Orioles' organization this year it would greatly resemble real life events as presently constituted..."

The DeJean Diaries - May 26...Inside the numbers:  If anything, things are even worse than they seem

A Walk In the Park - May 11...Are there any predictors for young starting pitchers with control problems?

Lucky Charm - April 24...I listen to the game, the Orioles win; coincidence?

The Kiddie Corps - April 19...The Young O's Hurlers Had a Nice Weekend North of the Border

The Real Thing - April 5...Thoughts on Opening Night

Memories of Maz - April 3...Remembering Lee Mazzilli's early years with the Mets

The Problem with Standardized Testing - March 7...Syd Thrift's Lost Exam

The 900 Pound Gorilla - March 3...Steroids and Baseball

2004 Fantasy Camp--A fan's perspective - Feb. 10

2004 Fantasy Camp--Pro Games - Feb. 10

2004 Fantasy Camp--Semifinal Game -Feb. 10

2004 Fantasy Camp--Thursday's Report -Feb. 10

2004 Fantasy Camp-- Wednesday's Report -- Feb. 4

2004 Fantasy Camp-- Veteran's Tournament, Day 2 - Feb. 2

2004 Fantasy Camp... Veteran's Tournament Action, Day 1 - Jan. 31

2004 Fantasy Camp... Preparation - Jan. 30

The Injury That Changed Baseball - Jan. 27...Boone, The Boss and the Move Heard 'Round the World

The Case for Barry Bonds - Jan. 20...Not Merely a Great Player, Bonds is One of the Two or Three Greatest

Was He Lying Then or Is He Lying Now? - January 6... Pete Rose and the Art of Shamelessness

Kerry's Articles for 2003

Bandbox Revisited: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - December 17...Never Let the Facts Get in the Way of a Good Stereotype

We Can All Shut Up Now - December 15...The Much-Maligned Orioles Front Office Makes the Franchise's Boldest Move...Maybe Ever

The Eighth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - December 3...It's Fiesta Time!

Everything's Relative: The Orioles' 2003 Offense, in a Comparative Sense - November 20

He's Got a BIIIIIIGGGG Mouth!  David Wells: Like Employer, Like Employee - October 25

On Defining Value: The Middle Letter in MVP - September 23...Examining what makes an MVP

A Single-Minded Offense - August 19...Scratching Beneath the Surface Uncovers Worrisome Signs for the O's Bats

The Other Side of the Story - August 2...The Ponson Deal, From Multiple Perspectives

So You Wanna Be A GM (er, VP of Baseball Operations)? - July 22...What to Do with One Sidney Alton Ponson

A Farewell to Arms - June 27...A mercifully brief look at the carnage that is the Orioles 2003 pitching staff.

The Glass is Half Full:  Just the Good Stuff, Ma'am - June 14...There may be vague, misty signs that the Orioles minor league system is experiencing a tentative revival.

Whither Yankees? - June 10...Are we witnessing the seeds of impending doom in The Bronx?

The Organization that Snoozes, Loses - May 16...Player with some degree of marketability enters free agent season, unsigned, undealt...sound familiar?

Pitifully, Setting the Record Straight - May 13...A Backstop charlatan is revealed

Two Ex-Birds Flying for the Coop(erstown)? - May 9...Palmeiro and Mussina may be close to having their tickets punched

The Story So Far:  Observations on the Season - April 28...A look around MLB after four weeks.

The False Choice of Sabermetrics - April 2...Why sabermetric and observational approaches to baseball analysis aren't inherently at odds.

Bored Meeting - March 21...An inside look, from the bowels of the Belfry's situation room.

Throw Us a Bone - January 31...One way of looking at the Orioles' off-season thus far.

This, Bud, Is for You - January 15...New plans from the Commissioner's Office.

Damn Yankees:  Wins, Money, and a Mastodon-Sized Ego - January 6, 2003...A nuanced explanation of one person's feelings about the New York American League Ballclub.

Kerry's Articles for 2002

Breaking a Bad Habit - December 18...Put down that boulder and ask yourself if signing Deivi Cruz is worth getting your undies in a bundle.

The Price Ain't Right - November 23...The continuous, exploding price of attending big league games may already be having a long-term detrimental effect on interest in the grand old game.

The Seventh Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - November 11...This past season's fiesta implement is identified

Dissecting the Corpse - November 1...An in-depth look at the awful 2002 Orioles offense

Syd's Last Resort - October 10...The Orioles VP of Baseball Operations grants an "interview"

Off With Their Heads - September 10 ...It's time--long past time, really--for a change

Baseball's Amateur Draft:  An Historical Series Part Four:  The First Round, Team-By-Team - September 10

Say It Ain't So - August 22

Our Game - August 4...Let Major League Baseball's foibles ruin love of the game?  Not on your life.

The Rumor Mill - July 14...Let's have some fun and look at the latest trade rumors that have come into the Belfry's war room.

The Favorite Toy, Episode II - July 3...Attention shifts to hitters, particularly prolific home run hitters.

When Winning is "Bush League" - June 23...Are legitimate baseball plays occasionally unfairly demonized?

The Favorite Toy - June 9...Bill James' threshold projection device brought to life.

New Evidence - May 24...Why, in light of what we know about draft failure, the Orioles should change their rebuilding strategy.

Baseball's Amateur Draft:  An Historical Series Part Three:  High School vs. College - May 16

The People's "Cherce"; Could It Be Worse? - May 2...Retaining Syd Thrift is preserving a losing tradition.

Baseball's Amateur Draft:  An Historical Series Part Two:  First Round Summary - April 26

"There's a Drive..." - April 8...A look at baseball's radio announcers in today's world of Internet broadcasting.

Potpourri - April 1...A few unrelated thoughts as we approach the witching hour of opening day at Camden Yards...

Baseball's Amateur Draft:  An Historical Series Part One:  Background on First Round Picks - March 23

Strategy, Tactics and the Road to Nowhere - March 18...The Orioles' treadmill and the reasons they're on it.

When They Were Good, They Were Very, Very Good, & When They Were Bad They Were Awful, Part II."

"When They Were Good They Were Very, Very Good and When they Were Bad They Were Awful:  Part One:  Awful" - February 21.. A look at historical trends involving baseball's best and worst teams, starting with the worst.

"Fantasy Camp Finale" - February 19.. A tribute to "The Rock," the 2002 camp champions, with pictures courtesy of John Reed, a member of the winning team.

OTHER FANTASY CAMP STORIES

FRIDAY, Jan 25

SATURDAY, Jan 26

SUNDAY, Jan 27

MONDAY, Jan 28

Tuesday, Jan 29

Wednesday, Jan 30

Thursday, Jan 31

Friday, Feb 1

SATURDAY, FEB 2

Orioles All-Time OWP/ERA Leaders - January 24...The franchise leaders since 1954 in both categories

The Age of Greatness - January 14...How great players have performed as they've approached age 40

Next Hall of Fame Class? - January 8...Who'll be elected on the 2002 ballot?

 

KERRY'S CALCULUS 2001

Kerry's Calculus..."Bandbox Revisited, Redux...Part II: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards" - December 28

Kerry's Calculus...Strategy? STRATEGY? WE DON'T NEED NO STEENKEENG STRATEGY! - December 5

Kerry's Calculus...The Sixth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - November 26

Kerry's Calculus...MVP:  Most Vacuous Pick? - November 24

Kerry's Calculus...Eliminating Run Support:  Neutral Wins and Losses - November 11

Kerry's Calculus...There But for the Grace of Bud... - November 8

Kerry's Calculus...A Long Last Look Part II - October 28

Kerry's Calculus...A Long Last Look Part I - October 18

Kerry's Calculus...The Greatest Offensive Season in Major League History - October 8

Kerry's Calculus...Minor League Club, Minor League Understanding, Major League Problem - August 30 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...Why We Root - August 22

Kerry's Calculus...A Vanishing Art:   Why Complete Games are Going the Way of the Dodo - August 3 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...My Dinner With Syd - July 25 (Parody)

Kerry's Calculus...The Story So Far - July 10

Kerry's Calculus...Windy City Wistfulness - July 2

Kerry's Calculus...The First Day of the Rest of Cal Ripken's Life - July 2

Kerry's Calculus...If Kiner's in the Hall, Belle's Gotta Be Too...or Does He? - June 12 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY:  COMPARISONS--May 24 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY:  1987-95--May 14 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...Moose Musings--May 7

Kerry's Calculus...When the End is Near--April 28

Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY:  THE EARLY 1980's (1980-86)--April 19 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus..."A Multi-Faceted Problem"--April 13...a (shudder) statistical look at the O's lack of "O" (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus..."Week One Observations"- April 9

Kerry's Calculus..."Thursday Night's Game:  The View From the Tube"- April 6

Kerry's Calculus..."THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY:  THE 1970's (1972-79)" - April 1 (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...Mar 25..."ORIOLES DRAFT HISTORY SIDEBAR:  WHERE THE DYNASTY CAME FROM" (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...Mar 22..."THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY:  THE EARLY YEARS (1965-71)" (Strategy and Stats)

Kerry's Calculus...Mar 20..."The Orioles' Amateur Draft History: An Introduction" (Strategy and Stats)

 

 


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